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In the last 30 years India has been through a nineteen-month spell of autocracy, it has lost 2 leaders of the Nehru-Gandhi family to assassination, it has faced separatist movements in Punjab, Kashmir, Assam and elsewhere, and it has switched from a closed economic regine to an open(ish) economy. It has moved from secular government to Hindu nationalist government and back again, it has gone from single-party rule to twenty-four party rule, from anti-nuclear to nuclear, from undeclared border wars with Pakistan to a lengthy peace process. It has also moved from virtual bankruptcy to a lengthy boom. By any normal barometer, India appears to be highly unpredictable.
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